Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.020543 0.022093 0.023703 0.025504 0.027462 0.029530 0.031879
2026-01-04 0.017929 0.020153 0.022583 0.025442 0.028722 0.032375 0.036765
2026-01-11 0.016282 0.018908 0.021887 0.025528 0.029876 0.034924 0.041259
2026-01-18 0.015035 0.017924 0.021298 0.025555 0.030809 0.037121 0.045334
2026-01-25 0.014113 0.017204 0.020911 0.025713 0.031814 0.039367 0.049517
2026-02-01 0.013153 0.016346 0.020260 0.025451 0.032215 0.040813 0.052699
2026-02-08 0.012263 0.015502 0.019552 0.025036 0.032345 0.041861 0.055361
2026-02-15 0.011584 0.014877 0.019069 0.024858 0.032740 0.043233 0.058492
2026-02-22 0.010947 0.014263 0.018556 0.024591 0.032970 0.044362 0.061311
2026-03-01 0.010407 0.013745 0.018133 0.024407 0.033282 0.045589 0.064306
2026-03-08 0.009922 0.013270 0.017738 0.024228 0.033572 0.046776 0.067284
2026-03-15 0.009549 0.012928 0.017503 0.024252 0.034135 0.048362 0.070922
2026-03-22 0.009117 0.012498 0.017143 0.024105 0.034484 0.049714 0.074389
2026-03-29 0.008747 0.012140 0.016869 0.024070 0.034996 0.051341 0.078404
2026-04-05 0.008442 0.011859 0.016687 0.024154 0.035681 0.053256 0.082989
2026-04-12 0.008145 0.011571 0.016478 0.024180 0.036268 0.055037 0.087456
2026-04-19 0.007903 0.011352 0.016358 0.024329 0.037045 0.057147 0.092596
2026-04-26 0.007572 0.010986 0.015998 0.024083 0.037173 0.058207 0.096003
2026-05-03 0.007227 0.010583 0.015562 0.023693 0.037040 0.058818 0.098653
2026-05-10 0.006961 0.010287 0.015277 0.023526 0.037258 0.060016 0.102405
2026-05-17 0.006690 0.009974 0.014951 0.023275 0.037316 0.060937 0.105702
2026-05-24 0.006454 0.009705 0.014682 0.023103 0.037493 0.062063 0.109438
2026-05-31 0.006233 0.009450 0.014425 0.022935 0.037665 0.063180 0.113220